What avoid according to them more than 1

"If negotiations continue at this rate, it will not get there."Yvo Boer, General Secretary of the climate convention, had a dark look Friday at the time to take stock of the week of informal negotiations which took place in Bonn. Four months almost day to day before the start of the Copenhagen Conference, the dialogue between the international community on the follow-up to the Kyoto Protocol is at a standstill. After a week of talks, the negotiating text is always more than 200 cluttered pages more than 2,000 brackets and options, signal that no agreement of size could not be found and that the dialogue of the deaf continues between Western and developing countries. "We swim in a sea of brackets", the Secretary-General acknowledged that initially, the discussions should lead to reduce the text to 30 pages to facilitate the work of decision of the heads of State. Jonathan Pershing, the American negotiator, also made the alarm: "If we see no more consensus and if the positions do not evolve as happened here, there will be no final agreement," he said.

It is classical in major international negotiations to be sometimes in deadlock (because States may wish to keep arms for final discussions), the clock is ticking. It remains that fifteen days of preparatory talks to the experts prior to the start of the Conference of the parties under the auspices of the United Nations, end of December in Copenhagen, from 28 September to 9 October in Bangkok and early November in Barcelona.

Some believe that, in the best cases, it will be possible to sign an interim agreement that would set the outline of a basic agreement. But States would again until the next Conference of the parties, in December 2010, to set their reduction goals and tie the last details before ratification. A way to give time to the United States to vote their legislation on climate. The most optimistic hope that the General Assembly of the United Nations in New York, which will bring together heads of State from around the world, will be an opportunity to show a consensus early.

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Problem, the updated figures on the table by the countries developed up to now are far short of what international climate experts believe necessary to avoid warming more than two degrees, yet admitted by the heads of State of G8 in June. Overall, industrial countries do not go beyond a decrease of 15 to 21 in 2020 compared to 1990. The Alliance of small island States (Aosis) and a group of the least developed countries require a decline of 45 in 2020 compared to 1990 levels. What avoid, according to them, more than 1.5 degree warming.

The second issue that angry is money. The India is mounted to the niche week last against the United States, whose climate bill provides for the creation of a customs barrier against countries that refuse to limit greenhouse gas emissions. New Delhi has even requested that add to the text a clause preventing any action of a country against the goods and services of another on the basis of its climate policy! Developing countries require for Westerners to devote 1 of their GDP to the establishment of mechanisms of aid is EUR 300 billion. The economic crisis does not facilitate the discussion.