On trade unions the situation is not clear

Sign, sign not Rarely the uncertainty was also high at the end of a social negotiation as to the outcome of the unemployment insurance, which was completed on Wednesday at 1: 30 in the morning after sixteen hours of discussions. This is also explained by an employer and Trade Union context very tense, but it is a reform on the joint regime.

If the project agreement significantly simplifies the rules for compensation for the employees who will be unemployed next year, its impact is difficult to assess. Only have been encrypted for the moment by Unedic the consequences of the opening of 4 months of premium rights. An analogous provision of 2001 had been removed as early as 2003 because too expensive. The device is this time ci locked by the requirement, imposed by the CGPME, 6 months of activity in second one-year registration. Unedic estimated at EUR 270 million cost and 100,000 new entrants. The CFDT, announced the figure of 200,000 to 300,000. The impact of the reduction of the durations of compensation related to the implementation of the principle of compensation for assessed someday someday was not encrypted.

Add to this the mechanism imposed by employers for contributions. If he gave to their decline as early as January 1, is in is almost guaranteed a worst January 1, 2010, best July 1, 2009. Without the expected return above for accounts skid.

Three unknown

At the same time, the reduction might not be only symbolic. This is in any case foreshadows the scenario studied at the request of employers: a decrease in the GDP by 1 in 2009 and an increase of 0.5 in 2010. Excess of EUR 2 billion next year it could allow two increases each 0.06 point whose 0.04 point for employers on 1 July and 1 January 2010.

Result: the agreement is for the time being virtual. First camp because employer is left divided negotiating (read below). On trade unions, the situation is not clear. One certainty: the CGT will not sign the agreement, "far respond to social demands." The CFDT, which will take its decision on 8 January, is attempted. But its General Secretary, François Chérèque, warned on France Inter that she "does sign not only".

Are three other known. The GSC, which will decide on January 20, first. His negotiator, Alain Lecanu, does not have a "very positive approach", but other members of the Central Branch believe that a signature is very likely. The fear is that fails, State Vienna reduce the ceiling for compensation of the executives. It is a very sensitive issue in the power of the framework, where a portion of the troops is an evil eye the consolidation with the Unsa project, framework, after the score of the agrarian Union. At the time, the President of GSC, Bernard Van Crayenest, typically very verbose, is is kept for the moment to express themselves. Ditto for Jean-Claude Mailly, the leader of Labour Force, he also typically less quiet. But it still is FO, pronounce after January 6, the project to return in the contractual game in Unedic. The rest, its negotiator, Stéphane Lardy, held the words very measured at the output of the negotiation. Unlike his counterpart of the CFTC, which will decide on January 12, Gabrielle Simon opposed categorically barred to the agreement.

CRP economic graduates

The table is so complex that you forget that it is a text negotiated also Wednesday, that could well raise a broad consensus: the agreement improving the recovery of the economic agreement of reclassification licensees custom (CRP). Even the CGT could the initialling.

It is the "most urgent", explains in the Elysee Palace, with the agreement on the partial unemployment and the contract of professional transition, "the triptych desired by the head of State is in place" to deal with the redundancies. "For the rest, adds, the State intended to preserve the autonomy of the social partners. In the absence of agreement, he is yet to take up the slack. But it is not clearly intend to make the decisions on the Unedic instead of the social partners. Each his cross.